Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 10.990364 12.866885 14.919429 17.324862 20.059950 23.066342 26.614059
2025-07-13 8.359326 11.032445 14.259894 18.411261 23.573606 29.743552 37.633302
2025-07-20 6.787487 9.847453 13.837088 19.344467 26.662344 35.954702 48.533119
2025-07-27 5.612075 8.831020 13.310157 19.866746 29.061956 41.318116 58.669423
2025-08-03 4.647147 7.874071 12.635239 19.975979 30.766359 45.759563 67.807912
2025-08-10 3.792664 6.897507 11.739678 19.575184 31.600756 48.952215 75.352633
2025-08-17 3.105374 6.045394 10.878886 19.063203 32.135777 51.659441 82.295123
2025-08-24 2.546359 5.297691 10.057422 18.472616 32.428353 53.950236 88.695184
2025-08-31 2.056951 4.576420 9.162649 17.623785 32.178332 55.328145 93.730106
2025-09-07 1.831372 4.311196 9.020857 18.019639 33.966844 59.972065 104.058936
2025-09-14 1.629237 4.053535 8.851374 18.332555 35.617452 64.475185 114.405627
2025-09-21 1.387507 3.664290 8.372861 18.014538 36.120833 67.097321 121.832501
2025-09-28 1.121238 3.182637 7.676229 17.272744 35.929788 68.765013 128.205661
2025-10-05 1.045048 3.135924 7.880403 18.338727 39.203682 76.701744 145.801246
2025-10-12 0.964243 3.059882 8.009249 19.265564 42.297779 84.541675 163.735815
2025-10-19 0.864586 2.910588 7.949214 19.785431 44.641280 91.185571 179.975361
2025-10-26 0.753558 2.701391 7.714362 19.894176 46.166747 96.421838 194.009428
2025-11-02 0.632470 2.428962 7.278531 19.494791 46.606810 99.643302 204.567290
2025-11-09 0.525946 2.168536 6.823672 18.984636 46.751177 102.286922 214.187026
2025-11-16 0.433830 1.924723 6.364632 18.396166 46.656211 104.434538 222.972056
2025-11-23 0.348413 1.673309 5.833280 17.550393 45.898108 105.190788 229.117516
2025-11-30 0.314418 1.600393 5.795887 17.944819 47.961322 111.761650 246.861615
2025-12-07 0.281961 1.522768 5.730436 18.256608 49.857425 118.099526 264.471644